Champions League Final: The Champions League Final 2026 picture is beginning to take shape after three match weeks, with the latest round producing an astonishing 71 goals, despite three of the 18 matches ending goalless. Five teams remain unbeaten with perfect records, all strong contenders for the title, while several others with two wins from three are keeping the pressure on.
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Twelve teams persist without a triumph, with two from that list — four-time European champions Ajax and Benfica, who have earned this competition twice — yet to prize up a point. The Athletic’s projections, powered by Opta data, have undergone some major fluctuations once again. Throughout the tournament, we will use these to apprehend each club’s prospect of league-phase elimination.
Paris Saint-Germain’s desolate 7-2 win against Bayer Leverkusen takes this spot. A ludicrous first half saw Willian Pacho score for the cup pouches in the seventh minute, earlier Leverkusen’s Robert Andrich and PSG’s Illia Zabarnyi were referred off in six minutes of each other. Aleix Garcia equalised before three supplementary goals in seven minutes put PSG 4-1 up at the break.
Champions League Final 2026: Arsenal Strengthen Champions League Final Title Bid
Nuno Mendes supplementary a fifth five minutes into the second half. Earlier, Garcia scored the goal of the game with a long-range smash. This year’s Ballon d’Or winner, Ousmane Dembele, on his arrival from injury, made it 6-2 before Vitinha’s precise shot stopped Leverkusen’s misery.PSG’s title likelihoods remain at 14 per cent per the prognoses in spite of such a dominant win.
Fellow title competitors Bayern Munich are up, resulting in them. Leverkusen find themselves 25th in our projections and 30th in the genuine table, with a 57 per cent fortuitous of league-phase elimination. They play second-bottom Benfica, succeeding before going to see Manchester City. Arsenal continued to establish their situation as Champions League Final favourites with a 4-0 home-based win against Atletico Madrid.
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They lead our plans with a 21 per cent coincidental of winning the competition, up from 18 after the end of Matchday 1. Slavia Prague are subsequent before their major challenge of the league phase against Bayern. Vincent Kompany’s German champions were equally dominant and scored the same scoreline against Club Brugge in Munich, advancing their top-eight gambles from 69 per cent to 78.
Manchester City Boost Champions League Final 2026 Hopes
Games against PSG and Arsenal, two of the four teams with improved title probabilities than them, in the next two rounds of fixtures will give a purer depiction of the Germans’ title credentials. Manchester City is one of the teams ahead of Bayern in terms of the proportion chance of winning the tournament, with a 2-0 win at Villarreal refining their title probabilities to 12 per cent and top-eight ones to 76 per cent (up from 10 and 61 individually).
Borussia Dortmund, who are their next enemies, could demonstrate tricky, but games against Bayer Leverkusen and Bodo/Glimt, moreover, the side of another of their even meetings with Real Madrid should keep City firmly in the quest to finish high up the table. Inter are yet to concede a goal after three matches (only matched by Arsenal), resonant with their league-phase performances a year ago.
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Union Saint-Gilloise were the latest to agonize at the needles of the Italian club, with the 4-0 win in Belgium rising Inter’s probabilities of a top-eight finish from 54 per cent to 74. Their title chances are still just five per cent, but they look established for another unfathomable run in the competition. Madrid is the fifth team with a picture-perfect record.
Champions League Final: Perfect Start on Paper, But Performances Leave Title Doubts
But it has looked less than resounding in slight home wins against Marseille on Matchday 1 and Juventus this week. Their title odds have been set at five per cent, a little bit lower than Barcelona’s six, while among the teams to have won all three games, their probabilities of concluding between ninth and 24th spot are the maximum at 29 per cent.
Their next opponents, Liverpool, remembered some of their mojo with a whipping of Eintracht Frankfurt, whose games have all finished 5-1 (one win and two defeats). The outcome increased Liverpool’s top-eight odds to 64 per cent, but their rivals’ exhibitions have meant the odds of adding the European title to last season’s Premier League have increased from 15 per cent to 12.
Rounding out the candidates list are Barcelona, who beat friends Olympiacos 6-1, with four of the goals coming after a debatable second goal for Santiago Haze just previously the hour. Like Liverpool, their title odds suffered despite winning, tumbling from eight to six in each hundred, while their top-eight odds remained principally the same.
We provide Champions League tickets for fans, offering a chance to secure Champions League Final 2026 tickets through our trusted online marketplace. Eticketing.co is dedicated to celebrating the excitement of this epic showdown and is your most reliable source for booking Champions League Final tickets.
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